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Rubin Ignites the CCL M8→M10

2026-08-06 10:39:12

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Rubin Ignites the CCL M8→M10 Upgrade — Four Signals from Resin, Q-Cloth, Silica Filler, and Copper Foil


NVIDIA's Vera Rubin architecture is pushing the PCB inside an AI rack from 'a passive substrate for in-board connection' to 'an active medium for rack-level high-speed interconnect.' Value that used to sit in copper cables, connectors, and backplane system engineering has been systematically migrated onto the PCB. This 'PCB semiconductorization' trend is driving CCL from M8 straight into M9 and M10, pushing every upstream layer — resin, glass cloth, silica filler, copper foil — to their material limits. For China R&D and procurement teams, material generation choices over the next 18 months will define the joint bottleneck of cost, yield, and delivery on AI programs. This article breaks down the four upstream signals and their practical implications

                    

1. Rubin lifts per‑rack PCB value by 2.33× — from passive substrate to active medium

Using ODM procurement prices, a GB300 rack costs ~$3.99M with PCB value of ~$35,100. VR200 (Rubin) jumps to ~$7.80M, with PCB value climbing to ~$116,730 — a 2.33× per‑rack PCB uplift. The gap is not just 'more boards' — three structural changes happen at once:

  1. New PCB categories: Rubin adds a ConnectX module PCB (72 boards per rack at $270) and a Midplane PCB (18 boards per rack at $1,500). Neither exists in GB300, together contributing ~$46,400 in incremental value.

  2. Existing PCBs upgrade across the board: The compute board goes from a 22‑layer HDI to 26 layers with CCL grade M7→M8; the switch tray jumps from 24 to 32 layers; a 44‑layer central backplane is introduced for the first time.

  3. PCB absorbs value previously held by copper cables and backplane systems: Rubin's NVLink 6.0 interconnect moves to custom PCB backplanes, promoting the PCB from 'supporting cast' to 'rack‑level nervous system.'

Rubin Ultra (2027 H2, NVL576) is expected to push the Midplane to 78 layers, with CCL jumping directly to M10. The value‑chain revaluation has already begun.

2. From M6 to M10: one table for the material generation of every NVIDIA AI server

The CCL upgrade cadence has been running in lockstep with NVIDIA's server generations:

                                    

Goldman Sachs forecasts the global high‑speed CCL market to grow from under $5B in 2025 to more than $10B in 2027 — a 40% CAGR. That growth is not the natural extension of M6/M7; it is driven singularly by the M8/M9/M10 high‑end curve.

3. Electronic resin's three‑step leap: PPO baseline, CH workhorse, PTFE decisive for M10

Resin is the only material inside CCL with molecular‑level design freedom, and the primary driver of Df. The high‑end CCL resin roadmap is now clear:

  • PPO / OPE (polyphenylene ether) : Df<0.003, high Tg, and materially cheaper than CH or PTFE. This is the base resin for the M8‑M9 binary system. Global capacity is concentrated in SABIC, Mitsubishi Gas Chemical, and Asahi Kasei; electronic‑grade PPO has been the workhorse from M6 to M8 and will not be displaced in the near term.

  • CH (hydrocarbon resin) : Dk 2.0–2.8, Df as low as 0.0008, and extremely low water absorption. This is the core matrix resin for M8‑M9. Global supply is led by Japan Soda, Mitsubishi Gas Chemical, Asahi Kasei, and Sartomer (US). Verified Market Reports projects the global electronic‑grade CH resin market from ~$1.2B in 2025 to $3.4B in 2034 — an 8.9% CAGR. Rubin's M9 heavy use of CH is the single largest demand driver in this resin wave.

  • PTFE (polytetrafluoroethylene) : Currently the best‑performing dielectric polymer, with Df as low as 0.0003–0.0004 and Dk stable at 2.0–2.2. It is the only base material capable of meeting M10's Df≤0.0005. Its downsides are low thermal conductivity, high CTE, weak adhesion, and difficult machinability. Daikin, DuPont, and AGC dominate the high‑end; localisation of modified PTFE is currently below 5%.

Practical guidance: Don't over‑optimise for PTFE in an M8‑M9 programme. The PPO+CH binary system remains the best price‑performance solution through 2026. Save PTFE qualification effort for the Rubin Ultra / Feynman generation from 2027 onward.

4. Q‑cloth (quartz glass fabric): the supply bottleneck holding back M9 CCL

The electronic glass cloth upgrade path is E‑glass → NE‑glass → LowDk (Gen 1/2) →T/Q‑glass →Quartz Cloth. Q‑cloth delivers the best dielectric performance in the family

                                

Q‑cloth has been positioned as the core reinforcement material for M9 CCL at 224 Gbps —but the supply constraint is severe. High‑end electronic cloth looms are almost exclusively supplied by Toyota Loom, with 2+ year lead times from order to delivery. In parallel, AI‑grade ultra‑thin and extra‑thin cloth production efficiency is far below standard thick cloth, so when cloth makers convert loom capacity from standard to high‑end, both E‑glass and AI‑grade cloth tighten simultaneously. Hongho Technology's average selling price jumped from RMB 3.74/meter in 2024 to RMB 9.78/meter in Q1 2026 —the clearest supply‑demand signal in the value chain.

Procurement guidance: Q‑cloth is not 'buy it when you need it' material. AI programme BOM lock‑in has to move forward 6–9 months.

5. Silica filler: from auxiliary to core functional material determining CCL performance

Silica's role has fundamentally shifted over the past three years — from a supporting filler used to lower CTE, to a core functional material determining high‑frequency loss and thermal performance. Three dimensions are upgrading simultaneously:

  1. Particle size keeps shrinking: M6 uses standard spherical silica, M7 micron‑grade, M8 sub‑micron, and M9 goes straight to nano‑grade. Smaller particles mean more uniform resin/filler interfaces, which mean lower Df.

  2. Manufacturing moves toward chemical synthesis: Flame method (2–25μm adjustable) direct combustion / VMC (0.51.5μm) chemical synthesis (507,000nm adjustable), with unit pricing stepping up at each level. Chemical‑method spherical silica can push Df to 0.0013 table stakes for M9‑M10.

  3. Fill ratio rising: As chip power grows, more silica is needed for thermal dissipation. Fill ratios have moved from a traditional 30–40% to 60–70%.

Globally, ~70% of spherical silica is held by Denka, Ryumon, and Nittetsu, with Admatechs holding a near‑monopoly on sub‑1μm grades. Taiwan and mainland China players are catching up quickly on chemical‑method nano silica.

6. Three signals China R&D and procurement teams need to plan for

Given the Rubin‑era material chain shift, three actions need to converge early on the China side:

  1. Material roadmap must extend to 2027: For new AI‑related programmes, CCL selection cannot stop at GB300‑generation M8. M9 (CH‑led) and M10 (PTFE ternary system) sample qualification should already be in the roadmap. PTFE‑based boards in particular have process parameters — drilling, etching, lamination — that differ dramatically from FR‑4/PPO. Fabs need real production experience with them.

  2. Glass cloth lead times will bite before copper foil does: Q‑cloth loom expansion is slower than resin and silica ramps. For AI programmes, Q‑cloth should be the first item locked in BOM. Cloth prices rising 160% over 18 months is now the primary BOM volatility driver.

  3. DFM must move forward to the layout stage: With Rubin's 44‑layer Midplane and Rubin Ultra's 78‑layer backplanes, any delayed decision on stackup, material, or copper foil compresses the ramp schedule. HDI micro‑via geometry, HVLP copper roughness, Q‑cloth/CH resin impregnation — these details must be aligned with the fab before layout freeze.

Closing: A three‑year revaluation of CCL — R&D needs to lock in manufacturing partners early

Rubin has pushed CCL from 'one small generational bump per year' to 'two big generational jumps in three years.' M8→M9→M10 is not three isolated events — it is one continuous transformation driven by AI compute demand. Resin, Q‑cloth, silica, and copper foil are all being pushed to their limits at the same time; any single upstream link falling behind will hit downstream ramp cadence and BOM cost.

Sunkey provides integrated prototyping across high‑Tg FR‑4, HDI, heavy copper, high‑frequency PPO/CH, and PTFE boards, with real production experience in high‑speed servers, optical modules, automotive sensing, and RF applications — supported by IATF16949 and IPC Class3 inspection workflows. Is your next AI or high‑speed communication programme at layout stage? Engage our engineering team before stackup freeze to get DFM feedback on material selection, HVLP copper roughness, Q‑cloth/resin impregnation, and impedance design — and de‑risk the M8→M9 generational transition before it hits the ramp.




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sales@sunkeypcb.com       

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